Example Paragraph

Amy Goldwasser’s essay effectively provides a defense of today’s teenager’s penchant for electronic stimulation.  In order for her argument to succeed, she relies on a writer’s standard means of persuasion.  In particular, Goldwasser firmly establishes herself as a voice of concern and justice; much of this is done through her tone.  The author’s opening move of characterizing the critics of teens is quite effective at making these faultfinders look unreasonable and harsh.  The use of quotes and examples establishes a sarcastic tone with which she presents the evidence of the critics’ extreme condemnation.  For example, she quotes a research organization’s findings that teens are “living in ‘stunning ignorance’”(Goldwasser).  This actual quote helps the reader see Goldwasser’s emphasis on the harshness and illegitimacy of this teen bashing; she is highlighting this unfair treatment of teens.  In fact, she refers to the research organization, Common Core, as just another example of these embittered entities who find teens a “fashionable segment of the population to bash” (Goldwasser).  These examples emphasize the author’s genuine concern about this unwarranted or misguided criticism of teens.  By sarcastically clarifying what these prominent critics are saying about teenagers’ use of technology, Goldwasser asserts her own defense of youth.  The author’s tone thus underscores how she feels about this phenomenon and how she cares about the public’s perception of teenagers.  Some may see her vigorous defense of teens as a quite noble gesture thus enhancing the author’s ethos/credibility.  Having established her moral character on the issue, the author then turns to her own evidence and reasoning to support her position.

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Project 1 Calendar

Monday

Wednesday

Saturday

2/3

  • Class cancelled due to instructor illness
  • Reading assignment emailed to students: Gladwell: Small Change

 

2/5

  • Introductions, Syllabus, Class Overview
  • Discuss Charting
  • Discuss rhetorical strategies
  • Discuss Gladwell (chart)

Homework: Read Preface, Intro, Chapters 1-4 in They Say, I Say.  Read (p.434) Pollan’s Escape from the Western Diet and (p. 647) Obama’s A More Perfect Union.  Micro and Macro chart one of the essays, but take notes on both essays’ rhetorical strategies.

2/8

  • Discuss TS/IS readings (Examples)
  • Discuss Pollan and Obama (In-class charts)
  • Discuss Essay Prompt (Print Essay Prompt from the blog)
  • Grammar and Syntax
  • In-class writing if time allows

Homework: Rough draft 1 body paragraph of rhetorical analysis.

Continue to read your essay for analysis.  Read Chapters 8-10 in They Say, I Say.

2/10

 

2/12

 

2/17

2/19

2/22

2/24

2/26

3/1

 

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Project 1 Prompt

English 100

Project #1: Rhetorical Account of an Argument (4-5 pages)

Copeland

An account is an analytical summary.

You are analyzing one of the three authors we have read in the past week.

Once you’ve identified the central claim and carefully and thoughtfully analyzed your chosen text, provide an account of his/her argument to an intelligent reader who is unfamiliar with the work.  In constructing this account, explain the argument in your own words by identifying the author’s most meaningful rhetorical strategies.  Obviously, examples and commentary help accomplish this task.  In the end, your argument consists of an explanation of the author’s main rhetorical strategies that support his/her main argument.

Evaluative Criteria

Successful papers will:

  1. Provide a thorough and thoughtful explanation of the author’s argument in your own words; identify the central claim; describe how s/he organizes the text, how certain appeals strengthen the argument.
  2. Carefully effective rhetorical appeals from the text and explain how they contribute to an understanding of the author’s argument.  In effect, your argument is two-part: first, you are making a case that the particular strategies you choose are “good” representations of the author’s argument; and secondly, you are explaining how each is effective in supporting the author’s position on the topic.
  3. Establish an appropriate academic voice and tone, wording ideas clearly and precisely.
  4. Be organized in a way that guides the reader from one idea to the next, and that introduces and closes your argument analysis effectively.
  5. Be carefully proofread and edited, with particular attention to sentences in which you quote the author.
  6. Be four pages in length, written in MLA format.  In addition to the 4-5 pages, include a works cited page.

 This paper should be four-pages in length.  Use MLA documentation.

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Making a Move

ITC is going to begin producing podcasts to further convey our passion for the trail.

This site (ITC), to refresh your memory, surfaced back in 2011 and pretty seriously provided coverage for many trail topics, from races to athletes to trends and products, at home and abroad. . . We brought a lot to this discourse, (pardon the candor), which, quite honestly, didn’t exist but for a few fantastic personal blogs.  As for a reliable source for insightful trail analysis and commentary and news, the interwebs were bereft.  Granted, we did not exactly stick around long enough to establish a more permanent and reliable foothold, but the work we have done was, at the time, unprecedented.  That’s a fact.  And we’re still alive!

We have affected the discussion of the trail, especially from a competitive standpoint.  We analyze the sport.  There is a big difference between posting results of a race and saying, more or less, runner A ran well. . . and providing a play-by-play of how a race unfolded, making references to previous races, resumes and versions of a particular race to crystalize an informed take-away.

One particular website known for its ultra marathon coverage introduced an “editorial” feature following Inside Trail Commentary’s advent of the first real news-oriented (and intelligent) trail discourse (which, mind you, has always been more about the commitment and research involved in our work than actual intelligence).

To my point, this other ultra marathon website reacted to what we were doing.  Of course, the lack of acknowledgment of our role in all of this does seem unfortunate since, indeed, what we did in 2011 is give the sport’s discourse a state-of-the-art PED, if you will.   This kind of nod, or acknowledgement comes by way of a collegial approach to these kinds of projects.  It’s an important academic move that conveys honesty and shows integrity.

Again, ITC is making a move: we are expanding to audio.  We will continue to write on occasion, but now we plan to provide sparkling samples of the frequent musings that Tim and I have every other week, even daily when conditions arise.  These musings include all manners and matters of trail (and ale).  There is always much for us to chew on.  We only want to share some of these thoughtful trail colloquialisms because, after all, as my 8 year-old says, “Sharing is caring.”  So, we hope you will tag along on this new “trail” we have begun to mark.  It should be a lot of fun!

In the end, we’ve been on a bit of a hiatus.  Here’s to hoping you missed our musings (last time I say that word, ever) and that your own off season has been full of rest and anticipation of another great year of trail adventure.

Look for our first podcast to post here and (hopefully) elsewhere by February 1.

Happy 2013.  Cheers!

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The Quiet Fire of Leor Pantilat

Views from a TRT run Leor did recently.

If you’ve never heard of Leor Pantilat, it’s understandable. Most readers here are in tune and familiar with Ultra-Racers and blogs that cover the sport. We (Matt Copeland, the other half of Inside Trail Commentary and I) have been discussing the core nature of what makes up “ultrarunning” for a while now and have struggled to define any of our conclusions. It’s a slippery matter that morphs into a new meaning as soon as we get a decent grasp on it. We could simply point to Leor and say, “There. That’s what we mean.”

At one look, Leor seems like he’s the most focused and competitive runner at any given race. Blink once and he’s off on a running and photography bonanza with poignantly expressive images that only a true lover of the natural world could capture. It seems as though he lives a dual life in running with a distinct demarcation between two equally passionate halves.

As a competitor, the La Sportiva Mountain Running team member has never had anyone cross the finish line in front of him since February… of 2009. 25 races in that timeframe, 25 wins he’s enjoyed, including Ohlone 50k, Way Too Cool 50k, Quad Dipsea, Quicksilver 50 mile (and 50k), and Skyline 50k, most of which by course record times.

Soaring above Yosemite

As an adventure runner, he explores and chronicles locations where the beauty and remoteness blend into a dreamlike state where one forgets about the arduous 10-20 hour run it took to capture it. His Blog is titled simply “Leor Pantilat’s Blog: Adventure Running!” and is packed with photography and detailed descriptions that seem better suited in National Geographic.

I’ve followed Leor’s progress for a few years and became friends with him a year ago. I still have no idea how he fits everything he does into the same hours of the same days as the rest of us. He was gracious enough to answer a few questions for me and I appreciate it greatly. If he runs the North Face Championship 50 miler this December, I know where my bets for the winner will be placed.

Hope you enjoy.

FF – You’re a somewhat unknown entity in the ultrarunning world, especially outside of California.  To get people up to speed, can you tell us a bit about your background?  Origin, family, upbringing, stuff like that.

Leor – I grew up in Sammamish, a suburb of Seattle. Even before I could walk, my father introduced me to the outdoors with frequent hikes, wilderness backpacking and weekly ski lessons in the winter. I was inspired by my surroundings and wanted to someday climb the peaks that we saw from the trails. We also did a lot of travels to virtually all the national parks of the West (Canada and United States) as well as international eco-travels. My uncle and father were both elite distance runners and my family is heavily into exercise. My mother was a gymnast growing up and now holds masters records for powerlifting and Olympic style weightlifting. At the age of 60 she continues to compete (and dominate) at world masters competitions. One of my sisters just completed an ironman.

FF – I’m not surprised to hear your family members are such accomplished athletes too.  What about your running background?  Did you run in school?  Have you used a coach?  Use one now?

Leor – I started running track and cross country in junior high and continued through high school and undergrad. I always strove to be like my father and uncle, who achieved great success on the track. While I enjoyed being on the track and xc teams my favorite part was always the weekend long runs on the trails. I had a sense my heart lied in the single track paths of the forest. After undergrad, I did not run competitively (in any fashion) for over two years. I got a car down in CA for the third year of law school and discovered the amazing trails in the Bay Area. My mom suggested that I should enter an organized competition and I did so for the first time in the fall of 2007. Around this time I also started to hone in on applying ultra techniques to mountaineering objectives in the mountains, which often entail rock scrambling, glaciers and off-trail travel. With my adventure runs I aim to explore the most rugged and wild spots in the mountains. I didn’t quite measure up to my father and uncle on the track, but I found my true passion in the trails and mountains.

I haven’t had a coach since undergrad track and cross country. I now run because I enjoy it. If I don’t feel like running (mentally or physically) on any given day, I don’t.  I also don’t run for the sake of running; I need to be engaged and inspired by my surroundings, I need to run in beautiful places.

FF – Running for pleasure seems to suit you well.  You’ve pretty much dominated the distances at marathon and below and have shown the same talent for a couple of longer events.  Are you transitioning to more ultra races, and, if so, what distances and types of races are you attracted to?

Leor – Unless 50ks are no longer considered ultras, I’ve actually run far more 50ks over the past few years than any other distance (15 since 2008) ;)   In addition, the Quad Dipsea, while only a couple miles longer than a marathon, is easily an ultra in my opinion. http://pantilat.wordpress.com/highlights/

While I have run a couple 50 mile races and will continue to occasionally race 50 miles, I’m probably not going to race longer distances for the moment (100k or 100m). I’m attracted to races that have nice scenery and are aesthetic, especially point-to-points or large loops.  I enjoy fast courses where I can get into a rhythm but also challenging courses with lots of climbing like Ohlone [50k] or the Quad [Quad Dipsea]. I also like races with some tradition and history.

While I don’t plan on races longer than 50 miles, I do, however, hope to transition to some longer adventure run objectives in terms of distance (not necessarily in terms of duration since I have done some technically oriented adventure runs over 24 hours). Some ideas include the Wonderland Trail around Mt. Rainier (94 miles), the John Muir Trail, and the High Sierra Trail from Whitney Portal to Cresent Meadows (72 miles). Anybody interested in helping with a 300 mile car shuttle for the High Sierra Trail?!

FF – Are 50ks ultra-distances? ;-)  I guess I meant that you’ve remained in a tight target of races that are relatively short and rarely race outside the 4 hour range or stray much from the West Coast. I’d definitely say you’ve embraced the adventure and wild aspect of ultrarunning.  Your photos and video are stunning, to say the least.  That being said, you are one of the most passionate and competitive runners I’ve seen.  Some of the photos of you at the Quad Dipsea last fall looked liked you were running for your life, or a course record, which you nabbed with a 3:48.  I heard you were looking to run 3:45 there this year?  I also heard something about competing at the North Face Endurance Challenge 50 Miler.  What are your plans with these races and any others for the rest of the year?

It’s not really feasible to run both the Quad and the NF50 so I hope to do one of the two. I have done the Quad the past two years so it seems like it could be time to try the NF50. 3:45 on the Quad would be difficult for me since the course has returned to the trail instead of the Muir Woods Rd. This means I would have to run an equivalent ~3:42 on last year’s course to run 3:45 this year.  Last year’s course was already longer than year’s prior with the addition of a long switchback descending into the Moors above Stinson Beach. While taken alone, these changes are not major, but they become substantial over the cumulative four legs of the Quad. I don’t have any definite plans yet for the rest of the year. I have a few great adventure run ideas I hope to do before the snow flies in the Sierras and perhaps a couple other races in the fall yet to be determined.

FF – Personally, I’d love to see you run the NF50.  How long have you been running for La Sportiva?  What does that sponsorship entail?  Travel, entry fees, shoes, cash incentive?

I have been running with La Sportiva since 2008. The sponsorship entails fantastic La Sportiva trail running shoes and lots of excellent gear from associate partner sponsors. They also have a program with funds to help with travel or costs associated with interesting projects or focus races. Moreover, La Sportiva sponsors many trail races and most of these have comped entry fees for sponsored athletes. Most importantly, La Sportiva makes excellent footwear for the mountains and trails that work for me. The C-Lite 2.0 is my favorite all-around shoe at the moment that I have used in training, races, and long adventure runs. The 2013 line-up looks very exciting!

FF – La Sportiva and its athletes rock.  Love their shoes.  Moving on to competitors, do you admire or regularly follow any ultrarunners?  If so, who?  Do you read blogs and/or websites on the sport?  Who do you think is the most promising ultrarunner out there today?  Can be a veteran or unknown.

I read iRunFar occasionally. I’m not a real groupie so I don’t regularly follow any athlete blogs, etc. I prefer photos vs long blocks of text so in appreciation of my own viewing desires my blog is heavily tilted toward visuals. I admire ultra runners like Hal Koerner who have displayed longevity in the sport and continue to perform at a high level. For most promising known ultrarunner I would go with Sage Canaday as it seems he has great potential to rewrite the records at many events. It goes without saying that as ultrarunning grows you’ll see more talented runners entering the sport at a younger age so there will no doubt be many more promising ultrarunners on the scene soon.

FF – You’re still very young yourself and, in my mind, an up-and-comer who could shake the ultrarunning world if you ventured into longer distances, but where do you see yourself in the sport of trail/ultra running in, say, 5 years?

Hopefully enjoying the trails and being inspired by my surroundings, whether it be local training runs in the redwoods or long adventures in the mountains.

FF – Speaking of long adventures, you’ve blended the worlds of highly competitive racing with adventure runs well.  Your passion for both is obvious and inspiring.  What is your philosophy on ultrarunning?  Is it about the competition or the self exploration on your long adventure outings?  What drives you the most in the sport?  What’s your philosophy with running?

I’m competitive when I toe the line in a race, but the heart of my passion lies in the wilderness on long adventure outings. It’s not necessarily about self exploration either, granted it is a big part of who I am. Accessing remote and wild destinations in a day that would otherwise require multiple days to backpack is a very rewarding feeling. It’s tough to beat experiencing nature in the purest form without aid stations, course markings, or sometimes even a trail. Add additional complexities like rock scrambling and glacier travel and I’m on cloud nine. I approach adventure runs differently than races as I enjoy the scenery and photography (often hundreds of photos). While this undoubtedly adds time, it would be very tough for me to reconcile all my enjoyment and approach it like a race. What’s the point of going to these beautiful places if your head is down the entire time? There are organized races for that.

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An Anomaly

We love the satisfaction of exploring topics that might pique the interests of readers.  In the end, we’re having these discussions ourselves either way (some on a few dirty miles with subsequent and abundant cold beverages) because there seems to be enough at stake, enough significance, greatness (triumph and heart-break) and healthy obsession to go around; in the event that others enjoy these discussions, as well (even a little), hooray.  Seriously.

Last week, Tim and I shared some thoughts about the Speedgoat 50k and “the face” of ultra trail.  On the face of ultra, I took the baton and ran myself up the proverbial steep and treacherous trail questioning the origin of Anton Krupicka’s celebrity.  What in the hell was I thinking?  It’s Anton, Tony, The Messiah, TK, whatever you call him.  His is a very big name in this sport of MUT and the fact that I called into question his grandiosity is a cardinal sin!  Asked questions, I did.  And there were a few answers from the kind folk who swung-by for a gander.  Thank you.

However, there wasn’t enough feedback from readers, from those desiring to “set me straight” in my infidelity of sorts, to help explain this phenomenon.  In my wandering inquisition of the young man, I came to a fairly clear, basic inquiry: What is his gargantuan appeal?

Here is how I see it breaking-down.

  1. Anton is fast.  Many of his results are remarkable and certainly help define his trail reputation.  Did he first make trail radar because of his speed?  I am not sure.  Evidence of his training has probably accompanied his racing all along, but the race numbers don’t lie.  The man has quick feet and has drawn attention to himself by the sheer speed he’s evidenced at a number of big races.  Zane Grey, Miwok, Western States, Rocky Raccoon, Leadville 100, American River, White River, etc.  Certainly, most fans are aware of Anton’s trail speed.  So naturally his speed has added to his appeal.  The man has won a lot, and recently contended with and even beaten guys like Kilian Jornet.  The 2nd at 2010 Western States further certified his reputation, but I would argue that his reputation was already in place by 2010.  The point is:  if we’re making an argument for Krupicka’s greatness (as many do), he has some documented speed in well-known races to support the claim.
  1. Anton logs many trail hours.  One can quite easily access the evidence for this statement.  Check his blog; his blogging and training remain one of the more astonishingly consistent features of American ultra.  As for the training hours and miles and feet of vertical, the story here is legendary.  I would argue that his training is far and away the main reason he has reached such heights in visibility and popularity.  He trains to a fault.  This is also quite legendary.  Unless he busts-up Matt Carpenter’s Leadville 100 CR this weekend (if not then, in the next couple of years), his training for that feat alone in years past created considerable celebrity, including a movie: if I’m not mistaken, a blurb from the DVD case reads something to the extent that he ran 2000 miles in a few months leading up to his 2006 or 2007 running of LT100.  Ouch.  Keep in mind, a big part of the appeal here is his consistency.  The blogosphere gives people access to all kinds of athlete training, from the beginner to the elite runner.  People have been able to follow this elite trail runner up, over and through a cache of Colorado peaks and ranges week after week, year after year.  The training numbers are staggering.  200-mile weeks ad nauseam, months in the thousands, hundreds of thousands of feet of vertical, etc.  Again, this, I would argue, speaks most to his enormous credibility.  He is trail training machine.
  1. Anton is generous and passionate about the trail adventure.  Back to the blog.  This instrument/device/tool/what-have-you has perpetuated a kind of Diary of a Skinny Kid narrative used to share his insanely consistent and rigorous training life-style as well as convey a passion for the sport that may seem unparalleled.  The guy loves the trail!  This relatively candid exhibition of his love for the trail puts so many readers and runners in a kind of personal relationship with Anton.  The blogs (he has his own as well as a few other writing gigs) enable comments, so occasionally this elite is actually conversing with the peasants.  No need to explicate this aspect too much.  He inspires people day-in-and-day-out with his tremendous trail experience and knowledge.  His writing details each run and adventure with luxurious detail.  His posts detail well-known routes, trails, peaks, and natural parks.  Often he is sharing these excursions with other well-known trail elites.  In the end, it’s alpine porn.  If you don’t see this, you better recognize.  He’s a tour guide par excellence.  The consistency, detail and palpable joy he derives from the sport is a must read for runners and adventurers of all levels, cross culturally.  No doubt, this generosity and passion have helped cement Anton Krupicka into the proverbial Mt. Rushmore of ultra running.  He’s more than a runner: he’s a voice and personality that gives so much to a sport we could easily assume to be based-on the value system of a bunch of runners just living out of their trucks, hairy, no shirts, non-descript shorts and some sort of sandal-like shoes . . .
  1. Anton looks like Jesus.  The aforementioned generosity and passion are indeed sophisticated.  Anton is educated (we know from reading his Diary); he’s tremendously articulate, as he reads and explains nuance and history of the trail, or this or that issue affecting life off-road, etc.  But beneath all of this intelligence and sophistication, there’s a genuine simplicity to this guy that says “pure.”  He looks like Jesus, for crying out loud.  Wasn’t it Scott Jurek, among others perhaps, who referred to him as The Messiah?  You and I know exactly what Anton looks like: Hair, blue short shorts, and minimalist shoes.  Minimalist.  It’s practically cliché.  The guy is basically naked (see: alpine porn).  Of course people love this guy.  The trail is good.  It is without excess, without the trappings of American materialism.  Trail stereotype  is  Anton.  He runs without.  He seems without want or need other than the daily summit.  His shoes are the only thing cutting-edge, which is okay because, after all, this is running (and given the rest of his outfit, he’s forgiven, even thanked for this one indulgence).  His get-up is so much more genuine than those white tights the Euros are running around in.  Really?  Tights?  Meanwhile, back at the real ultra ranch, Anton is sliding out of his 20 year-old truck bed, wearing blue shorts and New Balance minis (that he helped design), has half a gel tucked in his waist-line (first half for breakfast), a 12oz water bottle (unless there’s a creek on route) and he’s off.  To save the world.  Intellectually, visually, and even “spiritually,” TK is a beacon on the trail of life.  I think this is what people see, more or less.  And I don’t blame them.  There’s clarity, consistency and even contradiction built into this image and “life” that has become so popular, such an iconic fixture in the trail and mountain imagination.

Conclusion

I hope this has been somewhat worthwhile.  This is just one’s brief exploration of why a runner has such hold on a competitive market.  Keep in mind, too, this is juxtaposed with the questions Tim and I asked earlier of why aren’t other runners and personalities given as much “marquee” space as Anton.  Who cares?  You don’t give a shit?  That’s fine.

But the discussion for me is quite compelling.  And it gets more so.  I might argue that Anton’s celebrity is an odd mix of elements outlined briefly above.  I might also say that it is no mistake that he is the face of this odd sport of MUT.  As this article has asked who or what is Anton Krupicka, I might also ask what is ultra running?  Here at Inside Trail, we have embraced the competitive side of the sport.  We provided fairly consistent race coverage (we were the first to offer solid coverage and commentary on European Skyrunning).  We talked about “the front of the race” a lot, hoping to bring more focus and analysis to that semi and full pro style racing that has picked-up speed (literally and figuratively) recently.

This has been balanced against the perspective so pervasive out there that trail racing isn’t that serious and to take it seriously, like we are, is foolhardy.  It’s the trail, it’s people out for a frolicky spin amongst the daisies and dandelions.

So, the question:  what is ultra running?

“Well, it’s both, Matt.  Get over it.”

I don’t buy that.  Anton’s popularity clarifies for me what is perhaps at stake.  The competitive aspect of the sport is under-appreciated.  We’ll call this the Anton anomaly.  Here’s a guy who has done more non-competitive running and is the better for it.  Let me explain that.  He has been appreciated more despite the fact he hasn’t competed (raced) nearly as much as his contemporaries.  I might even say that his race resume is a mixed bag of oddity.  What do you associate with Anton?  Mountains.  Yet much of his racing has been on the flatter, more runnable courses.

My perspective in microcosm: his 2012 late scratch from HR100 (a course seemingly perfect for his style of training) and late add to LT100.  I think the most glaring asterisk is his unwillingness to race PPM.  He had ample opportunity to go head-to-head with MC, racing up a mountain famous for its peak and the climb to get there; like HR, PPA or PPM seem tailor made for Krupicka.  His absenteeism is a big head-scratcher.  And yes, I know, he owes no one anything.  Got it.

There are several reasons Tony is so beloved and “followed.”  I hope we find some edible fruit in this kind of discussion.

Good luck to all the Leadville 100 milers and Pikes runners this weekend.  Cheers.

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Leadville 100 Preview

This Leadville 100 Run preview will be like Liza Howard, short and sweet.

Fot once, we have a women’s race that is far more interesting than the men’s.  I say this mostly because women at the top level seem to know, and, more importantly, remember race after race how to run these things without exploding at mile 75 like a male front runner brimming with testosterone.  The ladies have a stacked field up front.  In order of how I see it breaking down at the finish line on 6th Ave…

Tina Lewis

Lynette Clemmons

Liza Howard

Becky Wheeler

Darcy Africa

Aliza Lapierre

Ashly Nordell

For the guys it’s a mixture of pure speed (Aish, Aldous, Arnstien), consistent grinders (Clark, Torrance, Jaime), and some wildcards (Krupicka, Tiernan, Waggoner).

If Tony Krupicka tries to run at the front with Jay Aldous and Michael Aish and hits Winfield (mile 50) any faster than 7:25, he’ll be in trouble later.  The only reason Tony is a wildcard is based on two things:  He hasn’t run Leadville smart since 2007 and he hasn’t raced a 100 in a year and a half.  If  he runs smart with the intent to win (as opposed to a race against time), he’s the one to beat.  Michael Aish definitely falls into the wild card slot as well.  Of course, if he runs his 10k PR pace at Leadville, he’ll finish in 7 hours 26 mins (wow.).  Aish’s Leadville run may seem like a publicity stunt but the Kiwi went to college in Gunnison (8,000+ ft elevation), where he ran to national titles.  He also competed in two Olympics (’00 and ’04) and ran his first ultra, the Silver Rush 50 miler this year (Leadville) for the win in 6:54 (just 4 mins off course record time).  If he runs to Winfield at a reasonable effort (like 7:30-ish) and holds the fueling together, this guy is the one to take down Carpenter’s course record of 15:42.

Another interesting competition playing out is the Leadman Series (look it up).  Currently, Tim Waggoner leads the series by a scant 3 mins 39 secs with just the 100 mile run left to determine the victor.  Troy Howard, a dominating, albeit quiet, force in ultrarunning (one of the top 10 fastest Hardrock 100 times) is lingering behind Tim W. in 2nd after beating him in the 100 mi mtb race last Saturday by 24 mins.  Troy has a solid chance to run 18:30-19 this weekend, so Tim W. ran 19:19 for 6th overall here in 2010 in his first 100 mile attempt but that was with an epic meltdown (I saw it live after pacing him for 50 miles) and being forced to walk slowly for the last 5 miles, so 19:19 is soft for him.  He will have to pull out all his knowledge and speed and any other tricks up his sleeve to hold off Troy.  Look for Tim Waggoner to be lurking near the podium.  I’ll be pacing him again for the last 50 and, frankly, hope to hang on.

The way I see it.

Nick Clark

Michael Arnstein

Tim Waggoner

Anton Krupicka

Jay Aldous

Jason Koop

Scott Jaime

Zeke Tiernan

Patrick Stewart

Troy Howard

Sean O’Day

Ian Torrance

Please feel free to comment with opinions on who you think will be ripping up the fast out-n-back course.  Check out Footfeathers’ guide to “How to Run the Leadville 100”

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